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LDL. Should Gavin Newsom Run for President in 2028?

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OP-ED: Should Gavin Newsom Run for President in 2028?

As speculation grows over who might run for the White House in 2028, Gavin Newsom’s name looms large. The California governor has publicly acknowledged he’s “seriously thinking” about a run — but so far, he hasn’t made any final decision.

✅ The Case in Favor

  • High name recognition and national profile. Newsom already commands attention well beyond California thanks to his willingness to speak up on national issues and clash with the current federal administration — traits some voters may find appealing in a presidential candidate.
  • Energizing certain Democratic voters. For parts of the Democratic base — especially more liberal or urban voters — his style and policies can feel like a clear alternative to prior Democratic leadership; he could rally voters disappointed with the party’s performance.
  • Opportunistic timing. With his governorship ending in 2027 and his national visibility growing, 2028 offers a logical window for a campaign.

⚠️ Reasons for Hesitation

  • Weak support in home state. According to a recent poll, nearly 60% of California voters say they don’t want Newsom to run for president. That’s a troubling signal, given California is his political base.
  • Perception of distraction from state issues. Many Californians believe Newsom is already more focused on a potential White House bid than solving pressing state problems like homelessness, housing, and cost-of-living crises.
  • Political baggage and potential vulnerability. Critics argue that leading a high-profile state like California brings heavy scrutiny — anything from housing market problems to governance controversies could become ammunition against him in a national campaign.

🎯 My View — Conditional Support

If I were choosing now, I’d lean toward supporting a Newsom run — but only if he:

  • Demonstrates a deep, realistic agenda that speaks to national issues, not just appeals to his existing base.
  • Shows commitment to bridging divides — both within his party and across broader voter demographics (middle America, rural voters, working-class communities).
  • Accepts that the campaign will bring scrutiny, and shows willingness to address criticisms directly rather than rely on personality or showmanship.

At the same time, I’m mindful of the risk: a poorly managed campaign or failure to win broader trust could backfire — not just for him, but for the broader political coalition that might support him.

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